ESPN predicts the winner of Alabama vs Tennessee in Knoxville

· Yahoo Sports

After barely breaking a sweat in a 100-75 rout of Mississippi State for their 10th straight win over the Bulldogs earlier in the week, Nate Oats' Alabama Crimson Tide will look to snap a different when they visit Knoxville to face the Tennessee Volunteers on the next to last weekend on the SEC regular-season schedule.

Alabama (21-7 overall, 11-4 SEC), ranked No. 17 in the AP Top 25 poll and No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, exploded for 63 points in the first half of its dominant win over Mississippi State at Coleman Coliseum on Wednesday.

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Even with star Labaron Philon out of the lineup, the Tide led by as many as 39 points and used big nights from several key players to put the game out to bed early. Freshman Amari Allen had 25 points and five rebounds while making six of seven 3-pointers. Latrell Wrightsell Jr. finished with 18 points and Aden Holloway had a strong night with 16.

Alabama made 10 3-pointers for the ninth consecutive game. The Crimson Tide have won seven straight contests since opening the month with a 100-77 blowout loss to the first-place Florida Gators in Gainesville.

Tennessee (20-8, 10-5) is not Mississippi State. While Alabama leads the Vols by one game in the SEC standings, coach Rick Barnes' team has had the Crimson Tide's number in recent years. The Volunteers have won five straight over Alabama going back to the Tide's last victory in the series in December 2022.

That includes a 79-73 win at Coleman Coliseum back on Jan. 24 when Alabama had the benefit of playing with Charles Bediako. On that night, it ended up being a 19-year-old true freshman in Tennessee's Nate Ament who stole the show with a season-high 29 points.

Will Alabama end its losing streak against Tennessee Saturday?

Will Alabama beat Tennessee? ESPN's prediction

Ahead of Alabama-Tennessee, ESPN Analytics has provided its odds for Saturday's game.

ESPN's matchup predictor, which offers a prediction model based on its college basketball power index (BPI) and other variables, gives Alabama only a 33.2% chance to win and Tennessee a 66.8% chance.

Alabama is 15th in ESPN's BPI, up two spots from this time last week. The Tide have an 18.1 overall rating (up from 17.8). The metrics give Alabama a 12.3 rating on offense, which is No. 4 nationally, and a 5.8 rating on defense that rates 44th.

Tennessee is three spots ahead of Alabama at No. 12 overall in ESPN's BPI with a combined 18.9 rating. The metrics give the Vols an 8.6 rating on offense, which is 26th-best nationally, as well as a 10.3 rating on defense that's 12th best.

What is ESPN College Basketball Power Index (BPI)?

ESPN explains:

"The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day's rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily."

SEC basketball teams ranked by ESPN BPI as March Madness approaches

Start time, TV channel for Alabama basketball vs Tennessee

Tipoff for Alabama-Tennessee is 5 p.m. CT Saturday at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville. The game will be televised on ESPN. Karl Ravech and Jimmy Dykes will call the game for ESPN.

The radio broadcast of the game can be heard across the Crimson Tide Sports Network by using the Varsity app. As always, Chris Stewart and Bryan Passink will have the Alabama radio call of the game. Additionally, the Alabama radio broadcast can be heard on SiriusXM channel 81.

Here's a list of Crimson Tide Sports Network radio affiliates that carry Alabama basketball online.

CITYFREQUENCYTuscaloosa100.9 FM or 95.3 FMBirmingham100.1 FMAnniston95.1 FMArab92.7 FMChattanooga, Tenn.97.3 FM or 99.3 FMColumbia, Tenn.101.7 FMHuntsville97.7 FMLynchburg, Tenn.93.9 FMMobile105.5 FMMontgomery95.1 FMPriceville104.9 FMScottsboro98.3 FMTallassee94.7 FM or 101.1 FMWest Point, Georgia100.9 FM or 1310 AM

Alabama basketball schedule

All start times Central.

  • Nov. 3: vs. North Dakota (W, 91-62)
  • Nov. 8: at St. John's (W, 103-96)
  • Nov. 13: vs. Purdue (L, 87-80)
  • Nov. 19: vs. Illinois (W, 90-86)
  • Nov. 24: vs. Gonzaga (L, 95-85)
  • Nov. 25: vs. UNLV (W, 115-76)
  • Nov. 26: vs. Maryland (W, 105-72)
  • Dec. 3: vs. Clemson (W, 90-84)
  • Dec. 7: vs. UTSA (W, 97-55)
  • Dec. 13: vs. Arizona (L, 96-75)
  • Dec. 17: vs. South Florida (W, 104-93)
  • Dec. 21: vs. Kennesaw State (W, 92-81)
  • Dec. 29: vs. Yale (W, 102-78)
  • Jan. 3: vs. Kentucky (W, 89-74)
  • Jan. 7: at Vanderbilt (L, 96-90)
  • Jan. 10: vs. Texas (L, 92-88)
  • Jan. 13: at Mississippi State (W, 97-82)
  • Jan. 17: at Oklahoma (W, 83-81)
  • Jan. 24: vs. Tennessee (L, 79-73)
  • Jan. 27: vs. Missouri (W, 90-64)
  • Feb. 1: at Florida (L, 100-77)
  • Feb. 4: vs. Texas A&M (W, 100-97)
  • Feb. 7: at Auburn (W, 96-92)
  • Feb. 11: at Ole Miss (W, 93-74)
  • Feb. 14: vs. South Carolina (W, 89-75)
  • Feb. 18: vs. Arkansas (W, 117-115, 2OT)
  • Feb. 21: at LSU (W, 90-83)
  • Feb. 25: vs. Mississippi State (W, 100-75)
  • Feb. 28: at Tennessee, 5 p.m., ESPN
  • March 3: at Georgia, 5:30 p.m., ESPNews
  • March 7: vs. Auburn, 7:30 p.m., ESPN
  • March 11-15: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville)

Record: 21-7 overall.

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This article originally appeared on Roll Tide Wire: Alabama basketball odds of beating Tennessee in Knoxville, per ESPN

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